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Position:analyst > analysis > The Sales Analysis of Medium Buses in 2009 Ⅱ

The Sales Analysis of Medium Buses in 2009 Ⅱ

2010-03-12    Source:www.chinabuses.org
Summarize:

www.chinabuses.org: Part 1 Statistical analysis of middle bus 


 
1. Historical sales analysis of bus industry in China 


 
Table 1 Sales statistics of bus from 2007-2009 Unit: vehicle   

 

Jan.

Feb.

March

April

May

June

2007

13670

8808

10323

15028

12372

14498

2008

17124

6960

12374

15579

17003

23078

2009

9268

4961

9233

11840

11757

14474

 

July

August

Sept.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

2007

12768

14591

16698

12077

14995

21756

2008

10384

10732

12435

9439

10424

16062

2009

12632

15357

18801

12067

15224

23293


 

Figure 1 Sales statistics of bus from 2007-2009


 
It can be seen from above that:

 

1. There were two clear stages for China bus industry in the previous three years. The first stage was first half of 2007 till the same period in 2008. Chins bus builders were finishing upgrade of technology and craftsmanship and they started to explore overseas markets. And the second stage was from second half of 2008 to now, there were some record high sales volumes by the Olympic Games and in late 2009, china bus industry were severely influenced by global financial crisis, and currently it is under difficult structural adjustment periods.

 


2. Bus industry is influenced by seasons much.

 


3. Sales of domestic markets were clearly lower than the previous two years, especially February.

 


Part 2 Historical statistics of sales volumes of middle bus 

 

Table 2 Sales statistics of middle bus from 2007-2009
Unit: vehicle

 

 

Year

Month

9L≤10

8L≤9

7L≤8

Total

2008

Jan.

1103

2234

3380

6717

Feb.

477

814

1484

2775

March

1129

1463

2511

5103

April

1242

1789

3011

6042

May

1239

2408

3056

6703

June

1858

3049

4593

9500

July

711

1068

1415

3194

August

695

1549

1808

4052

Sept.

1069

1834

2129

5032

Oct.

981

1300

1261

3542

Nov.

798

1211

1831

3840

Dec.

1574

2205

2782

6561

2009

Jan.

837

1343

1641

3821

Feb.

253

544

647

1444

March

888

1236

1251

3375

April

906

1631

2002

4539

May

873

1489

2009

4371

June

878

2164

2870

5912

July

1023

1441

2377

4841

August

1157

1800

2449

5406

Sept.

1939

2531

3761

8231

Oct.

1255

1578

2065

4898

Nov.

1072

1973

3554

6599

Dec.

1657

3077

3905

8639

 Figure2 Sales statistics of middle bus from 2007-2009

 
We can see that overall changes of middle buses are similar to that of bus industry. Sales volumes of medium buses in the later half year were clearly lower than that of first half year, especially 7-8m buses. and the overall sales of buses last fluctuated time by time. And the strong rebound in the fourth season laid a good foundation for 2010. We may say that comprehensive revive of bus and coach industry has started.

 

Part 3 Increment analysis of middle buses


 
Table 3 Sales increment analysis of middle buses in Dec. 2009 Unit: vehicle


 

 

Bus

Middle Bus

Dec. 2009

sales

Growth YoY

Growth MoM

sales

Growth YoY

Growth MoM

23293

53%

45%

8639

31%

32%

 


Figure 3 Sales increment analysis of middle buses in Dec. 2009


 
1. Sales volumes of buses in Dec. 2009 were 23,293 units, up 53% month on month and 45% year on year. The big surge of sales volumes this month shows that overall recovery of bus industry has started as financial crisis fades.

 

 
2. Sales of minibuses were 8,639 units in Dec. 2009, up 31% month on month and 32% year on year. Sales volumes of medium buses are still increasing compared with last month and last year. And this is due to increasing needs from overseas markets, promoting of seasonal needs in fall and fading financial crisis.

 

Part 4 Sales analysis of all lengths of middle buses

 

Table 4 Sales statistics of all lengths middle buses in Dec. 2009 Unit: vehicle

 
 

 

9L≤10

8L≤9

7L≤8

2009.12

sales

Growth YoY

Growth MoM

sales

Growth YoY

Growth MoM

sales

Growth YoY

Growth MoM

1657

55%

5%

3077

56%

40%

3905

20%

40%

 

Figure 4 Sales statistics of all lengths middle buses in Dec. 2009


 
It can be seen from above that:

 

1. Sales volumes of middle buses between 7~8m were 3,905 units in December last year, up 20% month on month and 40% year on year. And this is the strongest power to drive sales increasing of middle buses even the whole bus industry.

 

2. Sales volumes of middle buses between 8~9m were 3,077 units in December last year, up 56% month on month and 56% year on year. Market needs for the length were low in the past two years, but this year the markets are surging.

 

3. Sales volumes of middle buses between 9~10m were 1,657 units in December last year, up 55% month on month and 5% year on year. Sales volumes of this length were the lowest, and they got the profound influence of large buses. However, we predict that markets need for this length are getting better.

 


Part 5 Market share analysis of middle bus


 
Table 5 Market shares of middle buses in Dec. 2009
Unit: vehicle


 

 

Total

Middle Buses

9L≤10

8L≤9

7L≤8

Sales Volumes

23293

8639

1657

3077

3905

Percentage of all buses

37.09%

7.11%

13.21%

16.76%

Percentage of minibuses

19.18%

35.62%

45.20%


 

Figure 5 Market shares of middle buses in Dec. 2009

 

We can see from the pie chart that sales volumes of middle buses take 37.08% of overall bus sales, similar to that of last month. Among middle buses, sales volumes of 7~8m take 16.76% of overall buses and 45.20% of middle buses, the biggest share; sales volumes of 8~9m take 13.21% of overall buses and 35.62% of middle buses; then it comes 9~10m, sales volumes take 7.11% of overall buses and 19.18% of middle buses.

 


Editor:Eric

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