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Position:analyst > analysis > Analysis & Prediction of Bus Market in 2009 & 2010 (First Part II)

Analysis & Prediction of Bus Market in 2009 & 2010 (First Part II)

2010-01-18    Source:www.chinabuses.org
Summarize:

3. Analysis of Coach and Inner City Bus for Length

 

A. The Ratio of Sales Volume  between Them

 

 

11~12M

10~11M

9~10M

2005

1.73

0.58

1.43

2006

1.47

0.75

1.45

2007

1.49

0.87

1.03

2008

1.09

0.84

0.87

2009

1.20

0.64

0.68

 

8~9M

7~8M

6~7M

2005

1.39

5.69

13.56

2006

1.42

4.15

7.68

2007

1.59

5.34

19.32

2008

1.40

2.17

1.06

2009

1.35

2.59

7.48

 

 

B. Sales Volume Statistics

 

 
11~12M
10~11M
9~10M

 

Coach

Inner City Bus

Coach

Inner City Bus

Coach

Inner City Bus

2005

10864

10734

7873

9741

4123

4896

2006

10523

7151

7851

10647

6084

4208

2007

14651

9804

10427

11925

6365

6172

2008

14591

13445

10719

12730

5889

6777

2009

14190

11789

8322

12959

5163

7566

 
8~9M
7~8M
6~7M

 

Coach

Inner City Bus

Coach

Inner City Bus

Coach

Inner City Bus

2005

9150

6993

15326

7453

17246

1025

2006

12313

8645

22679

5470

18734

2393

2007

13061

8190

25908

4854

23927

1238

2008

12211

8711

19987

9201

23482

22200

2009

12041

8924

20780

8027

26160

3495

 

 

Remark: Regarding the 11-12m vehicle, coach and inner city bus have great increase in 2008. Both of them have very good market performance. 7-8m vehicle becomes the spotlight because the huge Chinese rural market propels this sector. The same case occurs in 6-7m vehicle. Currently, Chinese big cities and rural towns have very close relationship and more and more people commute between the downtown and the suburb. Besides, China's rural auto stimulus policy pushes the related sale. Short-distance coach is very popular.

 

4. Sales Analysis of Large-sized Bus

 

Currently, the sale of large-sized bus has great increase, especially for the BRT bus sector. In the year of 2009, the situation is totally different and the sale is down. Whatever happens, large-sized bus sector can not occupy the main market share.

 

Sales Volume

Year

Seating Bus

Sleeper Coach

Inner City Bus

Total

2005

1

11

236

248

2006

110

109

968

1187

2007

268

176

1064

1530

2008

352

304

2451

3327

2009

873

451

1186

2510

 

 

Ratio between Them

Year

Seating Bus

Sleeper Coach

Inner City Bus

Remark

Ratio

2005

0.4

4.4

95.2

 

0.21

2006

9.3

9.2

81.5

 

0.85

2007

17.5

11.5

69.5

Not include others

0.91

2008

10.6

9.1

73.7

Not include others

2.04

2009

34.8

17.97

47.25

Not include others

1.53

 

Remark: The sale of large-sized buses reaches the peak. However, its total market share can not break through 2 percent. Hence, it can not become the mainstream. In the year of 2009, the sleeper coach sector also has great increase and the market performance is well. The life cycle of sleeper coach in China can be prolonged.

 




Editor:Frederick

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